Close
x
  • SMC open account icon Open an A/C
    • Open an A/C
    • CHOOSE YOUR OPTION(S)
    • Trading A/c
    • Mutual Fund A/c
    • NBFC A/c
    • NPS A/c

Budget News

  • Moody's Lower India Growth Forecast To 9.6% For 2021
  • June 23,2021  15:33
  • Moody's Investors Service cut India's growth forecast to 9.6 per cent for 2021 calendar year, from its earlier estimate of 13.9 per cent. In its report titled 'Macroeconomics India: Economic shocks from second COVID wave will not be as severe as last year's', Moody's said high-frequency economic indicators show that the second wave of COVID-19 infections hit India's economy in April and May. With states now easing restrictions, economic activity in May is likely to signify the trough. Faster vaccination progress will be paramount in restricting economic losses to June quarter, the agency said.

    The virus resurgence adds uncertainty to India's growth forecast for 2021; however, it is likely that the economic damage will remain restricted to the April-June quarter. We currently expect India's real GDP to grow at 9.6 per cent in 2021 and 7 per cent in 2022, Moody's said. Earlier this month, Moody's had projected India to clock a 9.3 per cent growth in the current fiscal ending March 2022, but a severe second COVID wave has increased risks to India's credit profile and rated entities. Indian economy contracted by 7.3 per cent in fiscal 2020-21 as the country battled the first wave of COVID, as against a 4 per cent growth in 2019-20.

    Stating that stringent lockdowns in economically significant states will mar April-June quarter economic activity, Moody's said the 10 states that have been hardest hit by the second wave collectively account for more than 60 per cent of the pre-pandemic level of India's GDP. Four states - Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Uttar Pradesh and Karnataka - contributed the largest shares among all states in financial year 2019-20.

    The agency said faster vaccination progress will be paramount in restricting economic losses to the current quarter. As of the third week in June, only about 16 per cent of the population had received one vaccine dose; of those, only about 3.6 per cent had been fully vaccinated. Mobility and economic activity will likely accelerate in the second half of the year as the pace of vaccinations pick up. The government recently announced a strategy to centralise vaccine procurement in order to boost vaccinations, which if successful, will support the economic recovery, it added.

    Moody's expects the overall hit to India's economy to be softer than that during the first wave last year. However, the pace of recovery will be determined by access to and delivery of vaccines, and the strength of the recovery in private consumption, which could be hampered by the deterioration of balance sheets of low- and middle-income households from job, income and wealth losses.

    Powered by Capital Market - Live News

Top News
Global News

Follow us:

  • fb icon
  • Twitter icon
  • Linkedin
  • you tube

Disclaimer: Investment in securities and commodities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing. SMC Global Securities Ltd. (CIN : U67120DL1997PLC188881): NSE INB/ INF/INE 230771431, BSE INB/INF 011343937, MSEI INB/INF 260771432, CDSL/NSDL-IN-DP-130-2015, SMC Research Analyst Registration- INH 100001849 I SMC Global Securities Ltd.: NCDEX/MCX (8200)/ NMCE/ICEX-INZ000035839 I SMC Global Securities Ltd.: PMS INP000003435 I SMC Insurance Brokers Pvt. Ltd., IRDAI Regi: No: DB 272/04, License No. 289 Valid from 28-01-2020 to 27-01-2023 I Registered Office: 11/6B, Shanti Chamber, Pusa Road, New Delhi-110005, Tel.: (011) 30111000. For any complaints email – igc@smcindiaonline.com, website: www.smctradeonline.com

The Stock Exchange, Mumbai is not in any manner answerable, responsible or liable to any person or persons for any acts of omission or commission, errors, mistakes and/or violation, actual or perceived, by us or our partners, agents, associates etc., of any of the Rules, Regulations, Bye-laws of the Stock Exchange, Mumbai, SEBI Act or any other laws in force from time to time.

The Stock Exchange, Mumbai is not answerable, responsible or liable for any information on this Website or for any services rendered by our employees, our servants, and us.
By submitting your details to SMC, you are authorizing us to send promotional communication through Call/Email/SMS/Whatsapp even though you may be registered under DND.

Insurance is the subject matter of solicitation • All insurance products sold through SMC Insurance Brokers Pvt. Ltd. • Investment Banking Services provided by SMC Capitals Ltd. • Equity PMS and Wealth management services provided by SMC Global Securities Ltd. • IPOs and Mutual Funds distribution services are provided by SMC Global Securities Ltd. • Financing Services provided by Moneywise Financial Services Pvt Ltd. • Commodity broking services provided by SMC Global Securities Ltd. • Real Estate Advisory services are offered through SMC Real Estate Advisors Pvt. Ltd.

OUR OTHER WEBSITES Go
IMPORTANT LINKS Go
QUICK LINKS
Go

Toll-free : 1800-11-0909
Email: contact@smctradeonline.com

Sitemap
Plus Minus 
Copyright ©2016 SMC. All Rights Reserved | Disclaimer | Privacy Policy | RMS Policy | Copyright| Testimonials| Sitemap| Grievance| design agency: triverse| Powered by C-MOTS Infotech (ISO 9001:2015 certified)

Open my trading account now!  X 

* All fields are compulsory